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Petrol Prices Surge Amidst Mixed Diesel Rates: A Dissecting Analysis



In a financial maneuver that might further burden consumers, petrol prices witnessed a significant hike while the trajectory for diesel prices was a mixed bag, with some witnessing a decrease. This latest adjustment, effective Wednesday, has set the stage for potential economic ripples.

According to the Department of Mineral Resources and Energy, the surge in petrol prices is primarily attributed to the confluence of two critical factors: a strengthening rand against the dollar over the past month and a notable rise in the average Brent oil price from $82.50 per barrel to $84.22. The surge in oil prices can be primarily attributed to continued OPEC+ production cuts coupled with Ukrainian attacks on Russian refineries, which have incited supply concerns.

Effective immediately, the hike in unleaded petrol (95) stands at a substantial 67 cents per litre. However, the landscape for wholesale diesel prices is varied, with cuts ranging between 4 and 9 cents per litre along the coast, and a nominal increase of just over 3 cents per litre for diesel with a 0.05% sulphur content in Gauteng. Intriguingly, Gauteng diesel with a 0.005% sulphur content will see a marginal reduction of almost 2 cents per litre.

The price restructuring extends beyond petrol and diesel. Illuminating paraffin will experience a notable decrease of 29 cents per litre, providing some respite for households reliant on this energy source. Furthermore, the maximum retail price of LP Gas is poised to drop by 19 cents per kilogram.

However, the relief from these reductions might be somewhat mitigated by the incremental increase in the carbon fuel levy. Effective from next week, the fuel levy for both petrol and diesel will witness a marginal uptick of 1 cent per litre, resulting in a fuel levy of R3.96 and R3.84 per litre, respectively. Additionally, annual adjustments to road transport tariffs for petrol, diesel, and paraffin will also come into effect, albeit within a constrained range of up to 14.8 cents, contingent on the geographical area.

As a result of these changes, the cost of 95 petrol in Gauteng will soar to R25.12 per litre, while in coastal areas it will reach R24.33 per litre. This marks the highest level since October last year. Similarly, the wholesale cost of diesel in Gauteng is set to escalate to R22.45 per litre and R21.55 on the coast, once again hitting the peak levels witnessed in October.

These adjustments in fuel prices are expected to have far-reaching implications across various sectors of the economy, potentially affecting consumer spending patterns, transportation costs, and inflationary pressures. As consumers brace themselves for the financial repercussions of these changes, stakeholders are left to navigate the complex interplay between global oil dynamics and domestic economic policies.

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